Your Week 3 NFL Gambling Guide (For Entertainment Only)

Great week of games (minus Poo Dey in Cincinnati), including Mike Shanahan making people who gambled on his team very happy.  For those of you who do not view games in terms of point spreads, the Broncos were between 1 and 2 point dogs, depending on the sports book, and scored a TD at the end of regulation to come within one point.  Conventional NFL wisdom says kick the PAT and go for overtime.  If the Broncos do that, they can still lose against the point spread if they lose in overtime.  However, if you go for TWO, at worse you push.  If they missed the 2 pt conversion, the Broncos would have pushed if they were 1 point dogs and won if they were 1.5 or 2 point dogs.  They made it, and won against the spread (and the game, but who cares about that?).  I am not saying this was on Mike Shanahan's mind, but I am just saying.  Oh yeah, that Miami pick....let's just forget that happened. Last week, I "Troy Blackburned" my picks, going 7-7-1.  Unlike the Bengals, I am not happy with mediocre and plan on going 10-6 this week.  I also picked my doubledown bet correctly (Pats) while looking like an idiot picking the Dolphins to win in Arizona.  Interesting slate of games this week, on to the picks.  Again, home team in CAPS.

ATL (-6) over kc - Did you know that KC has lost 11 games in a row? They were 4-3 at one point last year.  I guess that is what happens when your head coach doesn't know how to "use" the internet. 

BUF (-9.5) over oak - I can not believe I am picking the Bills and giving 9.5 points, but the Raiders are pushing the Bengals for most dysfunctional team in the NFL right now.  In fact, they might have the Bengals beat.

hou (+5) over TEN - Houston just had a week off (physically, not mentally) and they will be fired up.  Tennessee really isn't that good.  Is it just me, or do you think LenDale White orders Pizza Hut Tuscany Pizza at least 3 times a week?  Also, those commericals do not convince me Pizza Hut Pasta is good, it just shows that Americans lack taste buds and will eat anything smothered in cheese.

NYG (-55) over cin - The real line is 13.5.  Let's just move on.

WSH (-3) over arz - I still do not trust Kurt Warner.  West Coast teams really struggle to travel east and play 1 pm games.  Chris Cooley is my favorite non Bengals NFL player.  His blog is awesome, even if he accidentaly showed the whole world his junk.  I will not link to the picture, but if you so desire you can find it.

NE (-12.5) over mia - Miami sucks.  New England is good.  31-10 sounds just about right.

CHI (-3) over tb - I still like the Bears, even if Devin Hester will be out.  Tampa still has too much drama for my liking.

car (+3.5) over MIN - I do not get this line.  Carolina has won at SD and at home over Chicago, while Minnesota is starting GUS FEROTTTE. The same Gus who hurt his knek headbutting a wall and throws left handed passes while being sacked.  I thought I read the line backwards, and although I have checked 5 times, I still think I am wrong.

stl (+9.5) over SEA - What the hell.

SF (-4) over det - Jon Kitna is angry.  Things are bad when Kitna is angry.

no (+5.5) over DEN - Denver's luck has to run out.  NO lost a tough one last week and they need this win more than Denver needs it.

pit (+3) over PHI - Why wasn't Jesus born in Pittsburgh?  Because God couldn't find 3 wise men and a Virgin.

IND (-5.5) over jax - Jacksonville has no healthy offensive line. The Bengals are exhibit one on how a crappy O line will doom your entire team.

cle (+2) over BAL - Cleveland has lost two tough games.  Baltimore beat one crappy team.  Cleveland needs this game, and they will get it.

NYJ (+9) over SD - I will watch this game on mute.  Many Tony K can make a real offensive comment about some racial/religious/identity group and he will get fired.    But back to the game, 9 points really? SAN DIEGO IS NOT THAT GOOD!!!!!!!!!!  NORV TURNER CAN NOT COACH FOOTBALL!!!!  Trust me.

Double Down - I feel saucy this week Jets over Chargers AND Panthers over Vikings.
Moneyline - Jets over Chargers (+335)

Season Record 7-7-1
Double Down 1-0
MoneyLine 0-1 (big time). 

Comments

[gambling]

Thanks for your gambling guidelines.Your conversation is very helpful to all the gambling lovers.Once again thanks for your post.

[Sleeping With Bieniemy]

Whoa, Cleveland is a dog against Baltiless??? Okay, we all know they are due to "mean revert" from last year (even though the omniscent Don Banks predicted they would go 12-4 WITHOUT EVEN LOOKING AT THEIR SCHEDULE EVEN THOUGH HE IS A PROFESSIONAL SPORTS JOURNALIST), but, even though they are overrated, they will beat the Ravens, yes? I'd take that as my moneyline or double down or both. Even if that last sentence doesn't make sense.

[Chase F]

Mike Brown, upon hearing you say the Raiders were competing with them for most dysfunctional team, got drunk and beat the shit out of Bratkowski in front of the team, saying it was for his own good, and then leaving to go on a three day bender, question, who is the enabler?